MY PREDICTION ABOUT BURUNDI

MY PREDICTION ABOUT BURUNDI

The turn of events in Burundi where Gen Godefroid Niyombare, a former intelligence chief fired three months ago announced that Nkurunziza had been ousted after weeks of deadly civil unrest sparked by the president’s attempt to stand for a third term made many people whom we had shared with this `while away coup` predictions of the tiding regards me as their Legendary Philosopher Thales of miletius.

Thales was famed for very many predictions including the 585 BC eclipse of the sun which  came to happen during the battle between Milesians to neighbors to the east the Lydians and the Medes which added to its impact.It happened during the war and the combatants were so impressed by the fact that they saw the predicted eclipse while fighting that they laid down their weapons and made peace.Thales made lucky but informed guess since for him he didn't understand the solar eclipse since in his explanation he didn't know that the moon had anything to do with it.

One day it is said that a certain woman came to inquire from him and took him outdoors in order that they observe the stars at night.While moving out just within his compound he fell int a ditch and his cry for help drew from the old woman a retort"How can you expect to know all about heavens,Thales,when you can not even see what is just before your feet?".

In Burundi thousands took to the streets on Wednesday to celebrate Niyombare’s announcement but the security services appear to have divided into pro- and anti-Nkurunziza factions. In the early hours of Thursday, the armed forces chief, Gen Prime Niyongabo, said on state radio: “The coup attempt failed, loyal forces are still controlling all strategic points. The national defense force calls on the mutineers to give themselves up.”We are told by the government officials that the security situation is being contained.

A spokesman for the attempted coup, Burundi’s police commissioner, Venon Ndabaneze, dismissed the claim and said Niyombare’s supporters were in control of many key sites, including Bujumbura’s international airport. “We control virtually the entire city. The soldiers who are being deployed are on our side,”He told AFP.

The situation in Burundi is tricky and very difficult to predict but to be safe from criticism of my wit  and knowledge ican attest that we have learned in Africa that coups do not work. We have also learned that fiddling with constitutional arrangements in order to extend presidential terms creates conditions for soldiers to take power. This is a difficult one to solve. I suggest the East African Community,instead of convening the meeting with Nkuruzinza and by nature of how all of them ascended to pwer except  should only do one thing of sending in troops to impose peace and ensure that elections are done peacefully.While doing this they should not include Rwandese troops in the mission considering their proximity and divided interest since.This is just a prediction and when it will be remembered,i will be regarded in high esteem as Thales of miletus was as someone who have came up with pre-plans for peaceful existence